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Kurzweil on "Strong" AI

Via KurzweilAI.net, an article on the future of AI for Forbes:

So what are the prospects for "strong" AI, which I describe as machine intelligence with the full range of human intelligence? We can meet the hardware requirements. I figure we need about 10 quadrillion calculations a second to provide a functional equivalent to all the regions of the brain. IBM's Blue Gene/L computer is already at 100 trillion. If we plug in the semiconductor industry's projections, we can see that 10 quadrillion calculations a second will be available for $1,000 by around 2020.
His new book, The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, is due out next month. I'm looking forward to it. I just have to first get through Everything Bad is Good for You; The World is Flat; I, Lucifer; Mistress Bradstreet; Living with the Devil... oh, who am I kidding? I'll drop whatever book I'm on to read about the Singularity.


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